Bird flu is born anxious in the Brazilian agricultural sector, with significant significant effects on bird production and export. In an interview with CNNand Andre Adami, researcher at the Applied Economy Center at the Faculty of Higher Agriculture at USPThe situation analysis.
According to Adami, although cases that have been discovered so far are marginal and have not affected the large production and export centers, there are already effects on producers.
“We came at a very enjoyable time for chicken, increasing exports, with the best price. The size has grown here in the first quarter about 9 %,” the researcher explained.
Archeology on exports and in the local market
With the suspension of temporary exports to some countries, estimates indicate this 150 E 200 tendency Ton of chicken meat They will not be sent abroad in the coming weeks.
This size should be redirected to the local market, which can press prices in the short term.
Adami indicates that Brazil has protocols Strict toilets And well -protected production areas, especially in the southern states, the main exporters.
However, the researcher warns of the possibility of repeating the disease, taking into account the experience of other countries and the difficulty of controlling in a wide area like Brazilian.
The effects on the production and consumer series
The situation can generate losses in industries and producers, who will have to deal with price reduction and increase the costs of disease control.
In addition, there is disposal of contaminated birds and eggs, which represent additional losses.
For the Brazilian consumer, the expectation is a possible decrease in chicken prices in the short term, due to the increase in supply in the local market.
This can also affect the prices of other animal proteins, such as pork and beef, which compete with chicken in consumer preference.
The researcher emphasizes the importance of general policies that work with the concept of diseases -free areas, given the regional extension of Brazil and the various facts of production in each region.
