Forest removal reset – Especially in the Amazon – it was combined as a basic measure Reducing greenhouse gas emissions in BrazilAccording to reports produced in the past decade by emissions and removal of greenhouse gases (LacquerInitiative from Climate Observatory.
with Google PinPoint Tool Aid, CNN analysis Reports that have been produced in the past ten years Seeg Eeds and Changes in the Foundation’s recommendations to the Brazilian government. Through the artificial intelligence assistant integrated on the platform, twinIt was possible to list the main proposed measures every year.
When checking the documents produced from 2015 to 2024, we can understand how it suggests Zero deforestation It gained increasing importance so that the country can reduce its emissions and achieve goals Paris Agreement on time.
Seeg was created in early 2010 to monitor and publish reliable data on Brazilian carbon emissions. Since the beginning of the historical chain in 1990, the change in land use (the sector in which the forests has been removed) has been the largest percentage of greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) in Brazil every year.
“The Brazilian emissions file dominates forest removal emissions. CNNSeeg Coordinator, David Tsai.
For this reason, the Brazilian scenario to reduce emissions is different from those facing most other countries, which focuses on making energy transition to renewable sources – a scenario that Brazil is already living.
“In the world in general, the great villain of global warming is Burning fossil fuel,, Which represents more than 70 % (of emissions) at the international level. We also have a fuel burning problem in the energy sector (in Brazil), mainly due to our road matrix. “Many of our emissions come from the removal of the forests, and because of the size, the removal of forests in the Amazon rain forests,” said the former head of Appama and the current coordinator of the general policy of the climate. Suely AraújoIn an interview with CNN.
Brazil has two goals: the end of 2025 with a maximum emission of 1320 million tons of carbon dioxide (MTCO2); And 2030 version of a maximum of 1200 MTCO2-A, which represents a 53 % reduction compared to the 2005 basic year.
Advance or defect?
With a large percentage of greenhouse gas emissions associated with the removal of forests, it may seem that the road for Brazil to achieve its climatic goals is simpler than other countries. However, according to Tesai, this “feature” is fake.
“In terms of speed of reducing emissions, Brazil can offer much more than other countries,” said Seeg Coordinator. “But if we exclude the removal of forests, the medium Brazilian emissions, for every person, become equal to moderate global emissions. With the removal of forests, the Brazilian average is more than an average citizen in the world. Therefore, in fact, we started behind us.”
That is, the removal of forests can be the starting point, however In order for the country to become a neutral carbon – That is, remove the same amount of GEE GE – you need to attack emissions in all sectors (agriculture, energy, waste, etc.).
Progress and relapses in the past decade
Among the developments observed in the reports of the past decade are the increase in organization, transparency and the institutionalization of climate change. If the first documents include periodic publishing fees for forest removal data, the country today is a global signal in monitoring Land use changes.
“There was an inclusion of climate policy in various government sectors,” says Tsai. “Of course there is a lot to improve it, but we see a growing movement every year, and government and municipal governments have specialized in the agenda.”
However, in reports, many recommendations were fixed: carbon removal of the economy in all sectors, the restoration of forest areas and the end of forest removal, and a bet on renewable energy, among other things. The repetition of these measures indicates that the country has failed to achieve the expected goals in these areas, even after ten years.
Do we behave enough quickly?
If the experts on this topic say the same thing for ten years, does it mean that the government does not act at the speed that it should act with?
“In practice, we have not seen concrete results in terms of emissions. After publishing a national climate change policy (in 2009), it was expected that we would put Brazil in the carbon removal path. What we see is the opposite, it was a path to increase emissions. This is the reason why these recommendations are repeated.”
Suely Araújo also notes that in the midst of this past decade, the four years of the Bolsonaro government were distinguished by the dismantling of environmental agencies, which made the country pass after damage.
“You cannot talk about the past ten years without this interruption,” Araijo says.
And if Brazil is not acting quickly Climate change fightingThis is also the scenario in most other countries.
“On the global average, we do not adopt the measurements quickly enough,” added Seeg Coordinator. “Most countries, or at least the most emitted countries, do not provide a decrease in emissions compatible with the Paris Agreement.”
The study says that the removal of forests in the Amazon exacerbates drought and storms
