Analysts who have been consulted before The central bank has reduced its projection of inflation this year, Maintaining the price level in 2026.

while Predictities raised the growth of the Brazilian economy In both periods, according to the Focus surveyed on Tuesday (22).

The survey, which captures the market’s perception of economic indicators, showed that expectations IPCA rises 5.57 % By the end of this year, less than 5.65 % expectations in the previous survey.

For 2026, Brazilian inflation dropped Stay in 4.50 %. The BC -PRRSATATED target center is 3 %, with a margin of tolerance at 1.5 higher or down.

Promotional research with one hundred economists showed that the Brazilian GDP (GDP) will grow by 2.00 % this year, which is slightly higher than the expansion projection of 1.98 % in the previous week.

In 2026, growth forecast increased to 1.70 % of 1.61 % previously. On the monetary policy of the central bank, there was maintenance in expecting the basic interest rate this year.

The average expectations for Selle in 2025 is 15.00 %, in the fifteenth week in a row with this expectation, while the expectations in 2026 are that the rate reaches 12.50 %.

No moment, a SELIC at 14.25 % per year.

The result comes in the wake of another week that was distinguished by the global recession caused by the trade war between the United States and China, with the interrogation of markets Announcement of a tariff by US President Donald Trump.

Trump has announced the implementation of the minimum 10 % on all American imports on April 2, as some countries got higher rates due to their trade balance with the American economy.

After a week, Trump boycotted “Mutual” rates for most countriesWhile maintaining the global average by 10 % valid, but tensions with China, on the other hand, continued to climb.

After exchanging revenge Trump imposed a rate of 145 % on Chinese productsBeijing answered at a rate of 125 %.

In the focus this Monday, there was also a maintenance of the dollar price at the end of 2025 at $ 5.90 and the drop drop to 2026 to $ 5.96, from $ 5.97 in the previous week.

The American currency accumulates from a decrease from 6.02 % real this year, move to the price correction process after it was operated at the end of last year, and more uncertainty compared to Trump’s tariff plans.

Trump’s “mutual” tariff is not as it looks; Understand

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