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US X China: What is Brazil’s position in the middle of the two forces?

President Louise Insio Lula Da Silva Beijing is visiting while China and the United States are seeking to reduce tensions caused by the tariff war. This Monday (12), Beijing and Washington agreed to reduce import rates for 90 days.

President’s trip He seeks to strengthen relationships With the largest Brazilian trading partner – a relationship described Lula as “inevitable” and “not destroyed” in the Businessmen’s speech in Beijing.

Lola said that China “has been treated as an enemy of global trade when it actually behaves as an example of a country that seeks to trade with those who have been forgotten over the past thirty years.” He criticized the rates that Donald Trump released.

The Brazilian President said: “I do not agree with the tax that is known for which the President of the United States tried to impose on the planet overnight.”

“It was multilateral after the Second World War that guaranteed all these years of harmony between countries, was not protectionism. Protection in trade could lead to war, as happened several times in the history of humanity,” followed.

Lula had already criticized conversation rates with Russian President Vladimir Putin, who met with him in Moscow before traveling to China.

The government of Donald Trump has exceeded Brazilian products by 10 %, which is the minimum fare. In the case of China, the rate increased by 145 %. Beijing took 125 % for US imports. The truce came this Monday, however Analysts see an advertisement with caution.

During the official visit of President Lula, the Brazilian government is seeking to increase exports to China, the main commercial partner of Brazil, amid a tariff dispute with the United States.

Pedro Steinagen, a doctorate in international politics from the University of Vodan in Shanghai, says that trade with Beijing alone should not cause wearing relations with Washington, but there are points of attention for Brazil.

“China has a lot of demand for Brazilian products, especially commodities. It is a surplus relationship for Brazil, so there is an understanding that China is an invaluable partner.”

“Even during the Jir Bolsonaro government, despite tensions, trade has grown, indicating the maturity of the Chinese Brazilian relationship,” he added.

However, the analyst stipulates that there are sensitive topics, and indicates that the government Donald Trump is associated with various issues, which makes this balance more complicated.

“The scenario is complicated and unstable. Brazil needs to move in this increasing hindrance to different topics and balance their relations with China and the United States, but also Europe and other international actors,” it concludes.

International analyst for CNN Fernanda Magota agrees that relations with China do not necessarily harm the relationship with the United States, because Brazil maintains its imitation of autonomy.

“The country works as a budget, and seeks to maintain good relations with all power columns without subordinates of any of them. This logic is compatible with Brazil’s historical strategy, which characterizes multiple guests, mediation and building bridges.

He adds: “In practice, the Brazilian balance between the great powers depends on the clarity with which the country emphasizes its interests and avoids being useful in the competitions that are not yours.”

In this sense, specialists in international relations heard him CNN They highlight Brazil’s decision not to formally adhere to the new silk road, which is the infrastructure project in China, as indicating that the country is seeking to maintain its independence.

The Brazilian government states that relations with China are not an interest in maintaining good relations with the United States.

On the other hand, international relations professor FGV Vinicius Vieira notes that there is a distance between Brazil and the United States since Donald Trump has returned to the White House, but he notes that this has not only happened on the Brazilian side.

“Brazil is removed from the United States, not only by the Brazilian will, but also because there is no American schedule for Brazil. This is not now, but rather gains strength with Donald Trump,” says Vinicius Vieira.

The analyst notes that under the government of Joe Biden, there was an approach of common concern with Lula in issues such as combating climate change and exploitation at work, but Donald Trump did not indicate the same interest in Brazil.

In addition to ideological issues, Vinícius Vieira believes that Lula data during the campaign in the United States may have had an impact on this trend. The president publicly supported the democratic, Kamala Harris, who ended up with a defeat by the Republican leader. He says: “This is undoubtedly closing the doors.”

Another point can weigh on both sides, in Vieira’s evaluation, is the proximity to the presidential elections in Brazil. “The government, Donald Trump, can bet on the return of the Brazilian right in the following, and the right will definitely try to use this distance from the United States politically,” he says.

Lula, in turn, can bet on the influence of Donald Trump on the Canada elections, where pressure from the United States strengthened the liberal party, which recovered in opinion polls and was able to elect Mark Carney as prime minister.

“At least as long as there is no definition in Brazil – if the left is, the right or the most moderate right will win the elections – relations with the United States must remain cold as they are. This is negative not only for investments and businesses, but also for both countries, which can explore more points that are independently subscribed to ideological grace.”

*Posted by Gabriella Lodi.

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