S. Brazil It was in the group with the 10 % minimal taxes that he imposed Donald Trump’s government To imported products, according to the list revealed on Wednesday (2), which the Republicans also called “Liberation Day”.
Although he was away from the definitions raised to other countries A maximum of 50 % – The Federation of Agriculture and livestock in Brazil (CNA) It says that the procedure against Brazil will have an effect that is considered “embarrassing” or “high” in 19 Agricultural business products.
The country that Donald Trump is led by the third main destination for Brazilian agricultural products, only behind it China E European Union.
According to CNA, the most affected products from tariff Those in which Brazil will be the largest resource for the American market and do not face relevant competition from other producers, being the only or affected.
This is the case Green coffee And orange juiceFor example, who have the United States as one of the main buyers.
Critical products include industrial beef. This means that the deviation from the import flow is almost impossible, given the high degree of dependence on the American market in the CNA evaluation.
Orange juice and green coffee have a “high” effect, which indicates that these products will find it difficult to absorb by other markets.
“The high import rates on these products can undermine Brazil’s competitiveness in this market, which affects the yield of the product. In the case of orange juices, the United States has some production in the local market, which will be very preferred compared to the Brazilian alternative,” says CNA in a technical note.
The marginal effect
Researcher at the Agricultural Business Study Center at the GETULIO VARGAS (FGV AGRO) Felipe Sigati estimates that the imposed customs tariff will have a marginal impact on the volume of agricultural business export.
According to the expert, the number of agricultural products exported to the American market should not reduce, and the American consumer will be the main damage to these measures.
“If you have a sound reduction, the effect will be marginal. When the product becomes more expensive, the consumer ends with less consumption, not to replace the supplier, either from the inside or outside, but because the product has become more expensive.” CNN.
For Felipe Sergate, there may be a change in the flow of Brazilian beef exports with tariffs. The United States is the second largest buyer of the product, only behind China.
According to the expert, the Asian state can buy more Brazil with Customs tariff war.
In response to American definitions, Beijing announced a 34 % mutual tariff for all imports from the United States. As a result, cow meat should be more expensive for the Chinese.
“Instead of searching for beef in the United States, China can search for beef in Brazil. This happened in the first period of Trump. China took revenge on the United States and started buying soybeans in greater sizes in Brazil.”
