It seems that Spain was a part of a island, rather than a peninsula, at least in terms of economic predictions. This is the only one of the best advanced economies of the IMF (IMF) This year has improved its growth opportunitiesAmidst more uncertainty and risks in the short and medium period Fare war. Within the structure of its spring meetings with the World Bank, the Washington -based organism has increased the national GDP to 2.5%of the two -tenth, which is recently close to the estimates released by OECD (2.6%) or the bank of Spain (2.7%).
In the face of next year, Donald Trump has previously been created by the war -unleashed trade war, which has already maintained the assessment of December and puts the progress of the Spanish economy at 1.8%. Panorama is thinking about America, which appears The business imposed by its president is most harmful among the countries presented by ‘recipes’. Its growth forecast was 1.8%by dyeing nine -tenths, Far from contraction Companies such as JP Morgan, the country’s largest bank or the Federal Reserve of Atlanta.
As for Germany and France, the company, which is capabled of two European engines and major business partners in Spain, has reduced the three and two tenth growth calculations this year, respectively. Commerce I will stagnate the German economy .
In Spain’s “Promotion”, the remaining “weakness” on the face
Together, the International Monetary Fund expects that the growth of the Euro Zone will decrease by 0.8% and it will decrease by 1.2% by 2026. The company considers that the progress is more than gratitude for the increase in real wages and the financial relaxation provided in Germany after the reform to eliminate the debt brake. “In the region, Spain’s stimulation contradicts the recession of the rest of the people”.
In a complex situation, inflation can be relatively stable across the country, and this year’s average rate will be 2.2% and 2% next. On the negative side, The unemployment rate will continue up to 11% by the end of next year. He Bank of Spain In the context of a strong employment, he warned that pulling immigrant flows would be a disruption of unemployment, which is one of the main structural problems for the national economy.
New hazards on the horizon
The company’s sharpness by warning is that some of the risks indicated in the update of its predictions in January are incorporated into matters that present, however, “The probability of working other adverse risks is increasing.” However, its impact varies between countries. Those who are directly affected by the new fees, especially the most attacked in China and the United States, but also a vast countries in Asia and Europe. In terms of Asian company, this year’s expected growth is reviewed by one -tenth, which is 4% point 4%.
These effects can increase the internal consumption of any countries, turn on business flow and increase productivity and competitiveness, as well as “purpose and” The intensity of opposite actionsIncluding non -non -people. “The International Monetary Fund has not rejected that the increase in geopolitical tensions is causing sudden changes in the IMF, with potential impacts on the stability of the Macrobinanisra.
If there is a decline in global economic coordination, may be a TechnologyNegative effects on long -term growth due to poor allocation of resources, loss of knowledge centers, summary of bank loan and financial stability.
