It is expected Financial markets This week is less unstable after China suggested A further 125% will not increase fees About American products, reject new increases in the United States as “comedy”. The Trump administration also announced fee deductions For electronic products from China over the weekend, high taxes may be as part of the state investigation on semiconductors.
This change may focus on investors in economic foundations and major events The decision of the European Central Bank (ECP) on China’s interest rates and quarterly GDP. In addition, world companies will start the season, attract attention to the main results of ASML and Netflix. These results provide information on the economic impact Extensive in increasing business tensions and helping to create the future feeling of the market.
Europa
The ECB is expected to continue cutting Official interest rates at 25 basic points Considering the worsening of growth perspective and the growing risks of inflation received from fees. The bank continued to reduce interest rates for a second time In March, the type of deposit is 2.5%. The type of a new reduction will be 2.25%.
He The Governor’s Council seems to have been separated In the path of types. Some members argue that the strength of the euro and the continuous economic uncertainty will prolong inflations in the euro, while others accept the most cautious tone Fear of payment inflation.
Economists expect the ECP to use at least three cuts after April, and the deposit type is 1.5% by the end of this year. However, the central bank is expected to re -confirm its “data” “Meet by Meeting” at your next end.
This Tuesday Zew Index will be released Economic Faith from Germany Related to April, which will provide the Banoma of the largest European economy. In March, the code rose to 51.6, which is the highest level since February 2022, Due to confidence before historical reform The country plans to increase the cost of debt and the EU. However, the consensus that the economic sense will suddenly decrease at 10.6 or at least three months because the US continues with it Confused payment threats.
In addition, the largest European manufacturer of the chips equipment will offer the results of the quarter from Wednesday. The Dutch company is expected to provide an advantage of a part of 6.12 (5.4), which indicates an increase of 81%of a year -year -year. As the uncertainty of Trump’s fees is constantly concerned with investors, its predictions are fundamental to the performance of the stock.
America
Variation March retail sales In the United States, it will be the main indicator of the consumer sentiment in the country. In February, the data increased by a medieval 0.2%, recovered from a reduced 1.2% fall in the previous month. Despite the tariff problems, retail sales are expected to grow 1.4% in March. And Basic data is expectedExcluded cars, Increase 0.4%Compared to 0.3% in February.
NetflixIt was the first largest technology company that gave its quarterly results this week. The site is still very resistant In large technology companies, because the industry is not directly affected Trump charges Or retaliation of other countries. Over the last quarters, Netflix has a solid benefits that formally violate the expectations of researchers, thanks to the repression of their advertising plan and shared password use. The company is expected to have an advantage for a stock Factset said that $ 5.70 (6.50 euros) of $ 10.5 billion ($ 12,000 million), which will reflect 8% and 12% of the year -end annual year -year year.
Asia-Pacific (APAC)
China releases statistics of its GDP on Wednesday In the first quarter, the main indicator of assessing the country’s economic path. Researchers expect the economy to grow 5.1% year -year in the first trimester, which refers to a recession of up to 5.4% in the previous quarter. BEcan has set a 5% growth target However, by 2025, economists expect that this year’s Second World economy will grow only 4.5%, which weighs the continuous weakness of the consumer needs and the continuous business tensions with the United States.
The country will also publish other economic indicators March key, such as industrial production, retail and investment in standard assets. Progress is expected in retail, which will increase the year by 4.2% of the year, compared to 4.0% in February. However, Industrial production is expected to decrease Slightly, from 5.9% to 5.7% of the previous month.
