According to the initial data of the National Statistical Institute, InEGI, which increased by 0.2% in Mexico’s GDP compared to the last three months of last year.
Moderate growth allowed the Mexican economy to avoid a technical recession 0.6% shrunk on a continuous basis in the last quarter of 2024.
Today’s Q1 Gross Domestic Product Data:
+0.4% Europe
+0.3% Italy
+0.2% Germany
+0.2% Austria
+0.1% France
+0.2% Mexico
-0.3% U.S.– Jeffrey Clendap (@Jeffreykleintop) April 30, 2025
The quarter -quarter growth was above 0% expansion forecast due to the growth prediction of Reuters voting researchers and a 0.1% growth prediction of Bloomberg.
Published on Wednesday, Inki’s initial data In the first quarter of the seasonal adjustable terms, the Mexican economy has grown annually by 0.6% and increased by 0.8% of the seasure -remedial regulations.
In a note for customers, Pantheon Macro economy leader Latin America economist Andres Abatia said: “From the quarter to quarter, the gain helped to avoid the technical recession to the Mexican economy, but it will not do the same to change the weak path.”
Gabriela Chiller, Director of Economic Analysis on Bango site, released a map for x This shows that the growth of GDP in Mexico has declined in recent years.
“This is the economic growth of Mexico. If this is not a recession, this is a significant economic recession,” he wrote.
The United States is the biggest factor that currently weighs Mexico’s growth opportunities President Donald Trump’s “America First” Security AgeryDespite the USMCA free trade agreement, some imports from Mexico include fees on some imports.
In that context, the International Monetary Fund Mexican economics predicts that the shrinkage of 2025When the World Bank is 0% forecasting growth.
President Claudia Shinbam rejected those predictions, insisting that international financial organizations do not take into account the central government’s efforts to incite the economy, including it. Plan the Mexico initiative.
Mexico’s Ministry of Finance is currently predicting the growth of GDPs in the 1.5% -2.3% range this year.
Inki’s latest economic growth data released on the same day The United States Department of Commerce said The US economy shrunk 0.3% annually in the first quarter of 2025.
The primary field grows 8.1%, which is its best result since 2011
According to Inki’s initial data, the main sector of the Mexican economy, which includes agriculture, fishing and mining, increased by 8.1% in the first quarter of the year compared to the previous three months. This is the best result for the quarter for this sector since 2011.
The main sector was the only sector that grew in the quarter.
The secondary (manufacturing) sector wrote 0.3% compared to the last quarter of 2024, while the third level (services) sector does not change with 0% growth.
Wrote in Chiller X The “primary (department) activities have saved the quarter since the last trimester of 2024.
“Secondary activities have fallen in the second quarter, which have not happened since 2020,” he added.
In another postThe primary department said “very turbulent”, so that the Chillar said its strong first quarter growth should be “taken with caution.”
He stressed that the risk of recession in Mexico was “high” in 2025.
According to preliminary data, the primary sector increased by 6% in the first quarter of the year, while the third level sector expanded 1.3%.
The secondary sector shrunk 1.4% compared to the Q1 of 2024.
Chiller noted that Mexico’s steel, aluminum, cars, and UNMCA were not covered in non-closed goods, that Mexico creates a third of GDP and that its growth opportunities are at risk due to US payment policies.
The value of the export of Mexico is actually Rose all the time in the first quarter of 2025But this was due to some US importers to avoid higher fees, the El Finanzero newspaper reported. The fees of goods that were not closed by Mexican steel, aluminum and USMCA were only implemented in March, while the US began collecting duties in cars in early April.
According to the data shown in the Sillet, the primary sector refers to only 3.4% of Mexico’s GDP, while the third level sector – It uses almost half of all Mexican workers – Creates more than 63% of GDP.