Clashes this week between Pakistan and India It can be considered the most dangerous climbing of tensions between these two historical enemies for decades, with millions of people on both sides of the border wondering what can happen after that.
Despite the promise of “revenge” Indian attacks in its territory, Pakistan has not yet diminished against India, and It seems that both sides have already invited victory. But the fighting continues.
The clear panic rocked both countries on Wednesday, after New Delhi launched military attacks directed at his neighbor, while Islamabad claimed that it had brought down his opponent’s fighters.
On Thursday (8), Pakistan claimed that it had dropped at least 25 Indian aircraft across the country at night, while he called it a “severe provocation” from New Delhi, who was wounded by four soldiers and killed a civilian.
A CNN He could not independently verify these allegations and contacted the Air Force and the Ministry of Defense in India.
Fear is that every additional step of confrontation on both sides can quickly become a complete struggle.
The Indian media was active after Wednesday’s attacks (7). He said an editorial from one of the main English newspapers in India, which praised the response of “hardness” and “firm” for the “strict” and “firm” response to the “rigid” and “firm” response: “Justice’s fraud” fraud in justice. 26 people massacre in Kashmir India runs it, in the hands of the militants. Echo EXPress Indian Express Similar Tone: “Justice that has been made,” said the title on the first page.
In Pakistan, Prime Minister Shaybaz Sharif responded to the same extent. he He promised “revenge” from the death of 31 people Which, according to Pakistan, was killed in the attacks of India, but still seems to announce the victory of its clear shots in India’s aircraft.
“The enemy was sufficient on his knees.”
India claims that it has reached the “terrorist infrastructure” of two Islamic-skeptical groups-ITipa and the Hammid army that they are behind some of the most strict attacks in the country. New Delhi said that the attacks on Wednesday (7) did not target the military infrastructure and did not kill civilians, which may give India and Pakistan the opportunity to find a way to avoid a full war.
It was a place in India in Pinjab, Pakistan, which is the deepest attack on Pakistan’s territory since both countries had a major war in 1971. The attack also targeted several other places in Punjab – the heart of the strong army and the headquarters of the Charity government. Muslim.
Analysts say that what is happening now depends mainly on the next Islamabad movement.
“All eyes are facing Pakistan,” said Michael Kojman, a South Asian analyst in Washington. “If the country decides to save its face and demand a victory – it may indicate the fall of Indian aircraft (which New Delhi has not confirmed) – and the end of the matter, the road may be on the horizon.” But he warned that “All bets will be canceled” if Pakistan decides the counter -attack.
“Something you lose”
Most analysts agree that nuclear weapons neighbors cannot afford luxury.
India and Pakistan have already shattered three wars By Caxemira, a disputed area that is fully called both and each of them controls. It may have another conflict with severe consequences.
Since its birth, seven decades ago, in the division of British India, Pakistan – the home of 230 million people – has faced increasing challenges, from political instability to worrying rebellion, climate disasters and economic turmoil.
India appears to be in a stronger position; Its army is seen as superior to any traditional conflict, which depends only on numbers, and the country is distinguished by the economy more than 10 times than Pakistan. But he will also have something if the conflict intensifies, according to Tanvi Madan, the first researcher in the Brookings Foreign Policy Program.
“Most of what we saw in previous times, these two rational representatives do not want a wider war,” Madan said.
Prime Minister in India Narendra Modi promised to raise India’s position on the global scene, Apply to host the Olympic Games And seeking to bypass China as an industrial center in the world.
Not to mention that India is already facing security threats on many fronts – especially along the disputed border with China.
India was fast in designing that its response to the April 22 massacre was “concentrated and committed, not intertwined” and explained that it was a response to the tourist massacre.
Nisha Basil, the chief adviser to the Asian Group, said that the high employees in New Delhi have contacted their major colleagues in the United States, the Middle East and Russia, among others, “they are supposed to encourage international pressure to avoid Pakistan climbing.”
Pakistan leaders celebrated the victory of the Air Force in the country, saying that five Indian fighters were slaughtered during one battle that fought over more than 160 km.
The Indian leaders were only evident in response to these allegations and did not recognize any loss of aircraft. The Pakistani did not show any evidence to be proven after the slaughter of the fighters, but a source from the French Ministry of Defense said that at least one of the younger and older war planes – French Rafale – was lost in the battle.
“If there are losses against India, Pakistan can claim victory,” even if the circumstances are mysterious, “said Milan Fishnaf, the first researcher and director of the South Asian Program in Carnegie International Peace.” This would allow Pakistan to claim that it has imposed costs on Indian military targets.
However, in the midst of the fog of war, the strong general of the Pakistani army, ASIM MUNIR, promised to take revenge on any aggression from India.
And Munir, known as his strict plan compared to the national Hindus, has a reputation that is more firm than his predecessor, the Gavid Bajoa moon.
Meanwhile, many voices within the Hindu National Party in Moody were pressing for a decisive blow against Pakistan.
The South Asian analyst, Kojman, said that the United States, which has historically taken off in these crises, could try to reduce tension, but it is not clear how much Trump government is ready to allocate it.
He said: “China called for a decrease in tension, but its tense relations with India excluded it as a viable medium. The main runners of the brokers are the Arab Gulf states, especially Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.”
Qatar was quick to request diplomacy in the hours of attacks on Wednesday (7).
Although most analysts believe that there is a way to go out for both countries, everyone agrees that the situation remains fluid and tense. “This crisis cannot be predicted as much as it is dangerous – an annoying mix.”