Relations between countries and global production chains, in general, the dynamics of the global economy: “the game has been changed” with the definitions of Donald Trump on Wednesday (2), according to the experts he heard. Ww.
For long and long -term long -term, the possibility of the United States and the world is discussed by the recession. But in the short term, the commercial policy of Republicans already hesitates: “(definitions) will mainly change the international trade system”, He evaluated the economist and the Prime Minister in Canada, Mark Lisan.
In this sense, the two countries rearrange their prayers that must go to the world’s reaction to the definitions, as they referred to Ww Christopher Garman, CEO of the Eurasia Group, Robins Barbosa, former Washington Band and head of the International Relations and Foreign Trade Institute (IICE).
Each country will defend its attention, and the defense of attention must have a complete vision. Brazil cannot interact without knowing the direction
Robbins Barbosa
The former prisoner looks at Asia, where, according to him, cannot be conceived: Japan, China and countries separated from South Korea are seeking to approach politically and economically to strengthen themselves before Trump’s tariff.
With the mutual tariff announced by the American President, China will have to pass an average rate of 54 % to put its products on American territory.
And for Brazil, Which was directed to a 10 % average? “Very early, there will be to wait for the main reactions.
“From the point of view of Brazilian foreign trade, Mercosur, some prices and some measures (unprotected protection) need to re -evaluate, indicates.
For IRICE president, Brazil is still strategically considered compared to Latin America, which seeks to build valuable regional chains in its influence.
Garman believes that this trend continues, the regions seek to approach each other.
“Whether it is politically or on the commercial side, we will have the world began to link more in a context in which the United States raises barriers and is no longer reliable,” he pointed out.
In rearranging these dynamics, Barbosa says that in his career as an ambassador, “I have not seen such a situation.”
Its conclusion is Trump is the path chosen by the country’s economic and political integrity. Looking at a retroactive effect, the former prisoner asks if the current scenario is approaching a historical style.
“In history, the empires were destroyed, most of the time, for internal reasons … I do not know if we see the beginning of this in American society,” he concluded.
satisfaction
Although the CEO of the Eurasia Group has witnessed a much worse advertisement than the imagined world, he agrees that Brazil ended up with “well in the picture.”
In the end, Garman notes that the account that made the Trump office was much simpler than what he promised – to take into account the medium tariff, the non -sharp barriers and the like.
Thus, given the trade balance only, Brazil was able to get out well in the Trump image, and therefore, it will be received at a more moderate rate than expected.
For Rubens Barbosa, Brazil “has a reason for relief.”
The commercial opening reduces Trump’s effect on Brazil? Understand
