Can another European country create its own nuclear weapons?

“Polish You need to continue with the most advanced skills, Including nuclear weapons Modern weapons, “Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk, said before his country’s parliament earlier this month: It is a serious career: security life, security life, Not for war“.

Trump administration refers to it It basically deviates from the security of EuropeThe Tuskin report seemed to change the proliferation of nuclear weapons in Europe, which differs from European policy over decades.

Suspects of US commitment continues Role of warranty your nuclear security From Europe, China expands its nuclear weapons repository. Russia, which maintains the largest arms repository of the world’s nuclear power leaders, repeats the threat that used to warn NATO and the European Union in Ukraine.

The General Panorama raises Two hard questions. How can Europe maintain a nuclear barrier at Continental level? Is it possible for other countries to join the atomic club?

Although some European countries With some components needed to create An independent nuclear weapon, as experts say Another European state becomes nuclear power They are scarcity.

Start new

According to Fabian Rene Halfman, the researcher of the Oslo Nuclear Power Program, although one of NATO’s European powers is ready to make their own nuclear weapons instead of staying themselves, Uncertainty will be at the starting point.

“The main issue faced by European countries is that they do not show the civil nuclear infrastructure required to start a plan Atomic weaponsOr, if they have a civil nuclear infrastructure, This is the most ‘resistant to multiplication’“He said in Euronev.

“For example, Finland and Sweden are only light water furnacesThey are not suitable for the production of plutonium suitable for weapons. In addition, none of these countries have chemical re -processing plants, and desired isotopes must be divided into the production of physical materials. ”

“So even if they wanted to start a nuclear program, They couldn’t do it with their current infrastructureAt least in the short term. Not all states now have nuclear weapons in Europe with a civil nuclear program, ”he explained.

Halfman recognized the exception of the debate: Germany. “Although it no longer shows a significant civil nuclear infrastructure, it has a very concentrated uranium reserve for research purposes,” he said. “Theoretically, this Arsenal may be reused in some attempts to create a physical material that is suitable for weapons.” “But even then Only reaches about 5 to 15 atom headsSo we call it a strong nuclear barrier. “

Open the atomic umbrella

Two European nuclear powers, United Kingdom and FranceThey have to do Make the best decisions about its nuclear future. In the current situation, the defined British dissertation based on submarines faces uncertain future. Its naval carrier carrying its missiles It is aging and to be replaced Also, more pressure, the missiles are manufactured and stored on an American base, which depends on the participation of another state uncontrollably.

French prevention, by contrast, Is more and more independent from NATOAnd not limited to submarines. That is, it can “expand” anywhere else in Europe, but as Hoffman explained, this is not an idea.

“We need to create infrastructure in host countries, Especially bunker pits“He explained ‘EuroNius’.” Sort French nuclear weapons Nothing change in Germany. Perhaps, they should be used in the first -line states, ”ie Countries that face RussiaIncluding Polish. His comments are occurring after Poland said that US nuclear leaders should be used in Polish soil.

Outside the shadows

After the Cold War and Missing From the Warsaw contractOvarian Poland fought from Soviet nuclear weapons Stopped in their territory. Like most European countries, various international contracts have since signed to control the proliferation of nuclear weapons, including a non -programming agreement and a contract to completely ban nuclear tests.

If Poland or another European Government begins Grow your own nuclear weaponsHe will abandon a rule that existed in the West for three decades. The most developed world -brolippes has focused on the long -term reducing world rule North Korea Arms ProjectPrevent the enrichment of weapons in Iran, prevent uncontrolled international flows of uranium, plutonium and the necessary components, and prevent the components needed to develop a potential nuclear device.

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A European state will automatically make weapons This is not taken into accountBut this does not mean that an interest amplifier can do it without being detected.

“None of the nuclear weapons of European countries I can multiply in secret“Halfman said. Nuclear power in Europe They are under the strict protection of the International Nuclear Power Organization, which means that any deviation is often cautious.

World companies and supervisors are responsible for non -work They are forced to be constantly With new technologies that threaten to facilitate illegal proliferation.

Nuclear power

Especially to worry Admissions production or 3D printing. The United States Strategic and International Studies Center has warned that the Center for Strategic and International Studies has been warned that “nuclear skills and weapons can help create turbulent paths, because the importation of candidates for proolifermen can be avoided.

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Until now, the non -International Proliferation has often focused on being difficult A “rebellion” country creates a weaponAnd in the world of 3D printing, in artificial intelligence and other rapid development technologies, countries will have to switch illegally.

A historical example of this matter is important. In the middle of the two centuries, The South Africa’s devices began to try ‘apartheid’ Nuclear power generates six nuclear heads that can be installed on Inter -Continental Balistic missiles.

The most important thing is that the country enriched its own Uranium suitable for weapons With a system Helicon is called the spiral separation process, High energy consumption is once but relatively inexpensive, according to some experts, today may be used to enrich at least a small amount of fistbal uranium.

To date, South Africa is the only state in history It has created its own nuclear weapons, which abandoned them and abandoned their prevention and ballistic missile plans when the ‘apartheid’ and the Cold War ended.

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But the story of its low -Ghost multiplying effort is a testament to the intense international study of the main components of double -use Radiation productsA government can theoretically a way to make it a way to make it at home, which is determined by enough to create a preventive nuclear power.

Another thing if there is any of the current European countries Takes such a serious step, North Korea may land in the same club, but in the future the United States and Russia’s behavior may be the cause of the decision.