The European Commission ‘Salva’, for now, the negative effects on Spain Donald Trump promoted fee war. Brussels has raised its growth prediction for the country to 2.6%this year, and in November, three -tenths than they predicted. However, the uncertainty created by the business policy of the United States can have a strong impact on the European level. In its spring forecasts released on Monday, the agency usually reduces the four -tenth calculation of the European Union and especially the Europe, which puts the latter’s progress in 0.9% of this exercise.
In Spain’s specific case, the Commission provides that the economy benefits both the pull effect of 2024, in which it will change more than expected, grow to 3.2%, and Home consumption stretching and private investment Variables that cost higher recovery after the Kovit crisis. While the domestic demand continues as “the main machine of economic growth”, the developing business tensions warned that net exports of net exports will drive this and next year’s growth.
“Will support consumer expenses A new increase in actual wagesAlthough mild, durable internal migration but in the fall of the fall, the body of the country, in its specific report to the country, states that the body is headed by Arsula Van Ter Lion. ” Interest rates The use of low and European funds can help compensate for part of this effect.
The Spanish economy will continue to be stopped by the Spanish economy, although it will grow to 2%. According to the Commission, The downward risks may come He says that more recession is more recession than expected of economic activities in the euro and Spain’s major business partners, “especially those who have a relatively higher exhibition for US markets,” he says. This may have negative effects by further harassing access to export markets, delaying business investment and maintaining the savings rate of homes over their long -term historical average.
As for employment, it offers it Unemployment rate continues to decrease until it is less than 10% in 2026Compared to 11.4 % in 2024. It expects Brussels that in an environment where prices are constantly moderate (public inflation is 2.3 % and the next 1.9 %) and public administrations can reduce their 2.8 % deficit.
The development of forecasts such as other creatures
The map of Brussels, other organizations that improve the country’s predictions, are in line with national and international corporations. Last March, Spain Bank raised a two -tenth of this year, up 2.7% of the national economy, and the reasons provided by the European Union today are in line with those in the table.
Similarly, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) kept Spain last month Like one of the biggest economies he has improved his predictions. In particular, the assessment of its GDP raised up to 2.5%by 2.5%, while maintaining 1.8%of the next year.
“Unfortunately this is true: We are in a turbulent era And the most uncertainty, when we live with infection, the war in Ukraine, now with fees. We have to live with this while doing forecasts“Economic Commissioner Valadis Domperovskis explained at a press conference, saying that these are” best predictions “that can provide global circumstances.
Despite a complex public environment, Domprovskis stressed that the European economy “It is flexible with the growth acceleration predictions for next year”. However, he emphasized that uncertainty is an important factor to take into account, especially in a situation where the current business crisis has a negative effect, which is threatening to reduce productivity.
In spite of this, the European market “shows firm behavior”, and inflation, even though it is slow, does in a soft way than the fall. The Commissioner emphasized as a tool to strengthen the fit of the European Commission’s rivalry commission, and to maintain the importance of improving domestic demand and to maintain a high -level investment promoted by the next generation of EU recovery funds. He also highlighted the growing fit of new trade deals and security costs. As for the rules of finance, he noted that most countries They have already requested to implement the escape category for security investmentsExcept for Spain, this has not yet done so.
