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The European Union set 2027 as a deadline for 27 member states, from which they did not leave the coast, and gradually eliminate everything Russian energy purchase They still hold, especially the freight players Liquid gas (LNG), despite the brutal war of Ukraine, continues to reach the beaches of the constituency.

Definance occurs gradually. First, with The prohibition of new contracts The short term already by the end of 2025. In the second phase, two -thirds of Russian gas will be stopped by the end of 2027. New restrictions will also be introduced Shadow naval Import Russian oil and uranium and stop other Russian nuclear products.

Each member states will be asked to describe how a national plan prefers Eliminate Russian gas and oil Its energy combination.

All activities will appear in the global strategy provided by the European Commission on Tuesday afternoon. Road map, finish it Legislative texts before going into effectIt was initially expected for the first 100 days of the new Commission, but it was delayed several times amidst a deep uncertainty of stimulation Donald Trump Implement Negotiations between Ukraine and Russia.

Putin militarizes Russian gas

The restoration of Russian energy purchases is considered a possible condition for the future peace agreement. With its strategy, Brussels rejects that controversial idea and establish the protection needed to leave the past in the past Russian fossil fuels.

“Even if there is peace tomorrow, we will not be wise to depend on Russian fuel,” said European Energy Commissioner Don Jurkenson. “First, Vladimir Putin shows it He does not care about the military of the gas. We should not restore ourselves in such a situation that can be vulnerable. Second, we do not want to fill your war chest and support the economy of your Wars, because who knows which countries will be. “

He Russian energy consumption Since the beginning of the large -scale invasion, he has been at the center of political debate, and the European Union was forced to create accounts by suddenly dependent on Moscow. As a reaction, Brussels approved to reduce unprecedented actions Carbon and oil imported Maritime Russians, but the best source of Kremlin’s income seemed to be astonishing from the gas sanctions.

Last year, this block was purchased by 31,620 million cubic meters (PCM) Russian gas gas pipeline and 20,050 pcm Russian LNG, which refers to 19% of total gas consumption. In the meantime, the Russian crude continued Durujpa pipe, exempt from sanctions To the Hungarian pressure.

The EU has spent 23,000 million euros In Russian fossil fuels in 2024

Overall, it is estimated The EU has spent 23,000 million euros Of the Russian fossil fuels by 2024, the number of military support provided to Ukraine was higher than the number. This imbalance has long been a source of IntercourseThis, despite the continuous requests of Key, has never reached the consensus to completely eliminate Russian energy.

Earlier this year, ten EU countries – Tinamarga, Estonia, Finland, Ireland, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Czech Republic, Romania and Sweden signed a joint letter Total Russian gas prohibitionIncluding LNG imports. “The ability to retain Russia’s war efforts is deeply intertwined with his energy income,” they wrote.

Resistance of Hungary and Slovakia

Instead of, Hungary and Slovakia They closed their teams to oppose sanctions, claiming that doing so would endanger their national economies and the EU competition. Ukrainian President Volodimir Jelenski said, both the coastless countries replied angrily Decided to stop the contract with Casprom Put the end of Russian gas transport through the territory of your country by the end of 2024. “We will not allow more billions to win our blood,” Jelensky said in December.

Budapest and Bratislava were told to interfere with Brussels, but it avoided criticizing Commission Jelensky’s size because it contributed to accelerating withdrawal. The remains of the interruption Turksstream, which crosses Turgia to Balkan and Central EuropeThe only gas pipe that carries Russian gas. Nortstream and Yamal-Roba flows through the gas pipes and stopped in the first year of the war.

“The obstacles that are part of the project will be accepted by the eligible majority. Unlike what is happening with economic barriers, in which This is unanimously needed“Jurkenson said.” We hope that all countries, even if they do not agree with the decision, must comply with the law. “

A political headache for Brussels

Purchase of Russian gas pipeline has declined to the minimum A headache for Brussels.

According to the Clean Energy and Aviation Research Center (Crea), the European Union imports of Russian LNG by 2024 increased by 9% compared to the previous year. Of these purchases, nearly 90% of France (7.7 PCM), Spain (5.7 PCM) and Belgium (5.1 BCM).

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Russia greatly depends on the EU market As for its gas exports, it is supplied with 52% of its GNL export income, ”he said in the April.

Lack of restrictions allowed to sign European companies Contracts with Russian suppliersSome of them are extended until 2040. According to the commission’s plan, the ban on purchase of Russian gas is sufficient, so EU companies declare Majur – that is, events or circumstances that escape the control of the signators – and release themselves from legal obligations.

The case between EU companies and Russian suppliers is 18.5 billion euros

“So, they cannot be considered responsible. This is a clear assessment of our legal services. So we think we have the most comforting news for companies with these contracts,” Jurkenson said.

However, this option is the risk of challenging before the courts and leads to major sanctions on Europeans. Russian contracts are usually administered by the well -defined conditions of ‘taking or pay’, ie obligated to accept the admitted delivery of buyers Pay financial compensation for your denial. According to Reuters, the case between EU companies and Russian suppliers is already 18.5 billion euros.

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There will be a very armor mode for provoking Majur and challenging demands in courts Approve of sanctions at the EU levelElizabetta Carnako, the chief researcher of the European Reform Center (CER), admitted that the positions of Hungary and Slovakia are almost impossible.

Trump proposes to increase US LNG sales Reach the surplus

“This new road map presented by the Commission today recognizes that inconvenience, but trying to find new ways to reach technically Progressive withdrawal of imports Russian fossil fuels, such as providing roadblocks to European companies, “Carnago told EuroNus.

“This is not exempted from risks because these companies may have expensive referee, but it indicates that the European Union (finally) takes the progressive elimination of everyone. Russian fossil fuel imported“.

The commercial negotiations between the presentation Commission and the White House on Tuesday. Donald Trump has raised the idea of ​​increasing US production LNG Reach the surplus Products with volume.

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