The trade conflict between the United States and China won a new chapter, according to Professor Carlos Gustavo Pogo, a political science specialist at Beria College.
In his evaluation, US President Donald Trump was the first to “flash” in this economic clash.
Poggio notes that the strategic goal of the United States, intense in the Trump administration, is “strategic disengagement” in China. This approach aims to redirect American production chains to reduce dependence on Chinese inputs.
Effects on economics and alliances
The expert notes that despite Trump’s American manufacturing speech, the American economy is strongly dependent on services, a sector that represents 80 % of the country’s jobs.
In this regard, the United States maintains a major surplus, a factor that Trump had ignored in his analyzes.
There is a decisive point in Trump’s strategy, according to Bogo, which is the weakening of American international alliances. The teacher cites the statements of the Canadian Prime Minister and the German advisor, who indicates a distance from these traditional allies from the United States.
Chinese strategy
On the Chinese side, Poggio notes an approach to “strategic patience”. Beijing seems to be a passing phenomenon and focuses on stimulating his local market, and seeks to reduce dependence on long -term exports.
Trump’s reflection Regarding the definitions of Poggio as a recognition that confronting the entire world will be more complicated than it was expected at first. This prompted the American president to focus his efforts on China.
The teacher concludes that although both countries have “a lot of lead in needle” In this conflictTrump was the first to retreat, indicating a possible strategic advantage for China at this time of commercial conflict.
