Donald Trump is more likely to face threats to impose fees of Russian oil and more economic risks are higher than the current trade war.
Reconsider the impact on the oil markets this Monday. Initially, it seemed that crude would rise early after threats Russian oil export fee US President Donald Trump. But the future symbols of the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Brent have finally retreated before that Investment’s general distrust To the economic situation.
The crude has risen approximately 5% from the middle. Hoodis threatened anything Business Transportation Shipment is connected to Israel In red and in the Arab seas, After preventing humanitarian aid in Gaza Strip The author is Benjamin Netanyahu Administrator.
This concern is for Trump’s charges against car business, in addition to other rates, It will come into effect next Wednesday. Last week, Trump threatened to impose 25% of fees To countries that buy oil from VenezuelaIt is expected to come into effect on April 2.
His last comments over the weekend have put too much upward pressure on crude oil prices. “If Russia and I cannot reach an agreement to prevent bleeding in Ukraine, I will place secondary fees on all oils emitted from Russia,” Trump said during a telephone interview with NPC News on Sunday. “This means that if you buy oil from Russia, you can’t do business in the United States … 25 to 50 points will be a fee Especially oil. “
In another interview on Saturday, Trump threatened Iran’s charges and bombings If this country refuses to stop the growth of nuclear weapons. “This is a completely geopolitical risk. Both activities can affect the concession and lead to co -objectives that can raise prices,” said capital market analyst Australia Australia Australia Australia.
Obac will increase its crude oil production
Oil Exports Organization (OPEC) and its allies plan to increase their oil production, which is currently estimated 2.2 million barrels per day. However, Trump’s fee threats against key Opeg+ members Like Russia, Iran and Venezuela To combat this systematic increase, they can reduce their goods.
It is expected Opeg+ Celebrate a meeting on April 5 to discuss future joint production projects. According to Reuters, the group is expected to expand its production 135,000 extra daily barrels in May. In the meantime, some members have to reduce their products to compensate for excessive production compared to their production purposes, which refers to a total of 4.2 million barrels a day. This suggests that if the members are fully implemented, the net effect may be a global reduction of the offer instead of an increase.
The fear of the recession lasts the need for oil
Despite the increase in geo -political risks, Economic concerns They can be the eclipse related factors. Trump’s tariff threats to Russia and Iran have increased Fears of high inflation and weak economic growthThis can lead to a process of black or recession, which may stop the need for oil.
During the Asian session on Monday, Trump’s fees on cars and mutual fees will be implemented this week, and the entire region’s different rental markets have fallen. Gold prices continued to rise, and both the cash prices and the future were reaching the new maximum in the first measures. The usual shelter coin and the Japanese yen have significantly strengthened.