It is interesting that the general agenda is still focusing on the potential benefits of using a brake for the lace. Because, more than others, this is enough to come to the debate, which can certainly cause all the damage they want to avoid. Although the data seems to be clear signals, I can say. Even when there, they show a braking course, which is a jointly desired dynamics. Concrete and especially in Lisbon.
Writer Ricardo Quimaris *
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In fact, in capital, although high, housing income is locked. From the Sir-Code, the real estate secret creates a residential income code, which monitors the evolution of the rent of new leasing contracts celebrated in Lisbon. However, such a code shows that rent from the 2nd quarter of 2023, which also proposes the latest descent, from 2025 to the nominal variation of -3.1%, which is a benefit to families facing adverse access conditions. Despite this gap, the average lace/M2 is located in Lisbon for an apartment D2, which is 1,800 euros per 100 m2 property.
The above data shows two contradictory signal realities. On the one hand, a high -level rent registration is compatible with the general sense of the crisis. On the other hand, a descent of income, the need to stop the market is a contradictory at a time that focuses on the debate.
As for the amount of rent, it is possible to verify that the evolution in the market in the market is practically reversed for the evolution of the number of fire available in the market in the last 15 years.
During the financial crisis, sir shows that there is a strong increase in lease supply, attracting owners who do not want to sell their assets. Although the movement of the offer was demanded (no credit access), Lisbon rental was reduced by 19%during this period. After this phase, especially since 2015, the movement has turned upside down. On the one hand, the legislative instability found in the lease, on the other hand, has led to a reduction in the distribution of 50% of the appearance of use alternatives, which is a short. The interval of the offer between the finals of 2015 and 2019 rose 54%, which exceeded 13.5/m2 for the first time. Now, again, the infection has come, and the offer has been significantly raised (50%compared to the end of 2019). Again, at the height of the offer, in the 2nd quarter of 2021, revenue fell by 20%. The infection is overflowing, but the inflation came, the market intervened in September 2022, announced a brake on the current contracts. The consequences are the summary of 20% of the distribution and the annual increase in the respective unveiled income is 29%. So Lisbon has reached an average of 19 euros/m2, which is a completely wonderful state of social reality.
Therefore, between the financial crisis and the 2023 brake, the size of the supply and the rental rate of -72%of the -72%of the reverse relationship between them.
Since then, the high -level rent has been inspired and the offer has increased by 90%. However, the numbers show a new reality. For the first time, they show that a significant increase in distribution is not translated into a significant descent of rental, 3.1% relatively limited adjustment. Here, you see the effect of the brake and their debate, and the tenants can thank the owners that they do not get the lace, because for them, for them, the risk of future brakes is not available to the descendants.
The market is followed by this balance. The harmful effect of the tenants is always weakened by the rules that gradually protect them.
I am in favor of the brake for the lace. But by promoting distribution, in the context of the market confidence and promoting investment.
* Director Real estate is secret.
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