Will I build a nuclear bomb and make a contract with the United States or War? Where does Europe fits in the equation?

The Iran nuclear operation Started in the decade 1950Contradictory, with Aid aid And within the structure of the atoms for peace. However, now the United States wants to end. Tehran founded the 5 MW research reactors at the Iranian capital University in 1967, enriched 93% of uranium from the United States.

In the decade 1970.

In 2002, with the expression of the facilities of Nadans and Arak, West has increased the severity of their sanctions And pressures on the Islamic Republic of Iran. He Detailed detailed plan (Paic) It was signed on July 14, 2015, but Trump retired from him on May 8, 2018 and was approached by Iran to respond to it Atomic bomb production.

Tehran says its nuclear function is “quiet” And? He creates mass killings and turns them into arms in tribe Islam. But today is prohibited at school Shee And Sariah It will become legitimate tomorrow Shi leader.

Iran and atomic bomb, three views

Often the situation is one: Iran is going to create a bomb, but the decision to create it is not made. Tehran is now enriching 60% uraniumThat Can quickly reach 90% It is necessary to produce nuclear weapons. Iranian officials insist that the pressure on their strategy is based Speeches And preventing the red line without crossing. But Iran is “on the brink of nuclear power,” says Western intelligence sources.

The second most often scene: Iran has decided to create a bomb, but it has not yet been practiced. If Iran is looking for a nuclear weapon, you can get the concentrated uranium required for the atomic bomb production. The Islamic Republic has no challenge to create an eyelid and a boot site because ballistic missiles such as Corramshahar and Sajil are capable of carrying eyelids.

The third scene: Iran has created a bomb and hidden option and the last shot is in Dardon in Tehran. No intelligence agencies have no definitive evidence, and there is no doubt that Tehran’s sovereignty is, in this case, this is not a situation like India and a nuclear Pakistan, where North Korea is worse than expected and often, The structure of his government will be eliminated Why Iranians would not want to be like North Korean citizens By any way.

Iran is the most allowed country after Russia

The Islamic Republic of Iran is the most allowed country in the world after Russia. However, The Iranians have been living under sanctions for 46 years. On the brink of strategic patience and decline, Tehran has found ways that last forever; From expanding their relationships with China and Russia, to find forms and customers to sell permitted oil.

But now, high inflation, the devotion of Riyal, the dissatisfaction of the people and the major sanctions on Iran are in a state of difficulty; The same pressure forced to accept Tehran Paic In 2015, more pressure than ever before. He wants Tehran Johnny to restore Johnny in his weak economy, and knows that in today’s world he cannot live unnecessarily in global contacts.

Maintain a war with the situation, a contract or Israel and the United States.

IsraelIt contains nuclear weapons and not signing Contract on not forming nuclear weapons (DNP).

Basis Israel’s prevention attacks In 1981, the Iraqi furnace of Osirak and Syria’s nuclear facilities in 2007 were the same principle. Neither the United States or Europe, Iran’s strategic allies, like Russia, do not want nuclear weapons Iran. For Iran’s Arab neighbors, their place is like Saudi Arabia.

Can Europe avoid war?

Iran carried out the largest conflict after World War II, with its remote control aircraft, which was a bold effort, which only helped to satisfy and satisfy With the Russians In international equations aimed at reducing global pressure and high cost: a very serious conflict with the Western and EU. The reasoning in Tehran is that Europeans have always been against the United States and Iran, and they have to make a difficult decision on the basis of their national interests.

The distrust of the Iranian leader on Europeans is not less than the United States. Recently, he went to the Europeans, “Europeans confirmed that Iran did not fulfill their duties, it was equally shameless … After the United States retired (after the retirement), you promised to compensate something, you said something else, you said something else, you made the second promise, you made the second promise, you made the second promise. You took the promise and made the second promise, “You made the second promise, you made the second promise and you made the second promise.

Great Britain, France and Germany, La Trioka EuropeanAs a signed signed by Paic, They will no longer have the ability to Activate the so-called ‘Snapback’ or activation mechanism Recover all international sanctions against Iran until October 18, 2025. On this date, the sanctions established in the 2015 United Nations resolution expire.

In the recent months, the possibility of implementing this mechanism has been discussed before the aforementioned deadline. If a new contract is not reached or extended by the Security Council 2231 resolution, Western countries may decide to use this mechanism. On October 17, the deadline for using the activation mechanism expires Also, when that period is over, the tool cannot be used.

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Europe’s role before the new nuclear deal

Although Trump does not give an important role to Brussels, Europeans can play an important and influential role Mediation to achieve new Nuclearocal agreement Providing economic offers to Tehran.

Tensions and Instability in the Middle East They Affects Europe’s security and economyCountries such as France and Germany are not neglected with Iran if they have comparative progress in relationships and understanding.

However, the European Union is not independent or useful when providing effective guarantees under Washington’s influence Reduce US sanctionsWhen conversations end at a dead stage, the US and Israel’s attack against Iran, the European Union, will be satisfied with the war, but it cannot be avoided.

Co -ahArgos de Iran in the Middle East

Trump says that Tehran is ready to negotiate with Iran “if he completely abandoned” his nuclear program, no more shot Hoody It is his responsibility for Iran. Therefore, any United States agreement with Iran will not be nuclear and austerity. Iran’s missile capacity and its alternative satellites will be two main molds of negotiations And potential contract.

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In terms of sovereignty or within society, the Iranians claim to “their place in the international system”, Ayatolus (high shiite religious authority) or without them. ** So, therefore, Iran’s sovereignty will offer concessions in the field of nuclear power and stop enriching uraniumFor example, but he won’t win his two AC: The Dissanie of missiles, and Hesbolla and Hoodis, his floating boats in the Middle East.

Oil: Blessings and Benefits of the Iranian economy

The tolerance of Iranian idealism is impossible without oil export, the The main artery of the economy. Pista exports, or harvesting of Iranian applause, or witnessed missiles and remote control aircraft cannot fill the void of oil for a government and a nation that still lives from bread and petrol.

Iran, who is suffering from Dutch, has not been able to progress with a product economy depending on oil. The abundance of oil and its strong dependence on their income have harmed the Islamic Republic.

Do I have another way to reach an agreement with Trump?

Yes. Forget the energy of the oil economy and the simplicity and negligence of the Arab countries around the Persian Caliba, and forget the ‘anti -axis’ and atomic and missile starts; An option for most men in the Iranian diplomatic industry, for example, see the fate of Colonel Gaddafi in Libya.

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The current Iranian option is negotiated and negotiatedThey are something they are trapped; The best way for them is to maintain the situation and avoid the maximum pressure from the United States, but this time it will allow you to get time to take time until the end of the second round of the Iranian sovereignty Trump’s presidency. United States, Super Power and “Great Demon”, and its head, Trump wants a contract and has given Tehran two -month offer.

However, the war option results in Iran’s benefit. Trump’s maximum pressure will worsen economic conditions, and if there is a war, Iran will not be the winner. Tehran knows that if Iran attacks US ships and sites or Arab countries, or the Hooty’s hands, the Omus or Bob Al-Mantap’s Strategy in the hands of hoods, it will face the Arabs’ military response, and Russia will not benefit their screams.

Like the Paic, Iran will negotiate again. In 2015, Tehran accepted the Paic with the hope of an economic opening, but Trump’s withdrawal of this project created great distrust in Tehran. At this time they may accept the most defined and stumbling agreement; A contract that does not connect your hands, promises that the United States will not retire and maintain a “peaceful” nuclear program with the most serious and complete watch.

Threatening the sovereignty of Iran and today its total is not the attack of Israel and the United States.

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